George Lee's blog

(原尺寸的圖在這裡)

好久沒看到這種景象了。大跌不怎麼令人意外，但是高達 157 點的逆價差卻著實不常見。在期貨市場的賣聲隆隆之中，也讓人再次見識到市場激情的特色。

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上次看了半天，一直在考慮只是暫時整理還是回檔將至？現在看來答案已經揭曉：原來只是整理而已。

這波這樣繼續往上噴，天曉得下個壓力區會在哪。也只能順勢繼續做囉。

「趨勢沒有被證明反轉以前，必須假定趨勢依然存在。」

老師說過的話果然要聽啊。

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Is this just a consolidation? Or is a drawback coming?

We'll see in a few days.

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不曉得這波會回到哪邊...

既期待有 490 的黃金檢, 又怕經過五年的上漲, 這波回檔恐怕不只半年... 金融市場果然很容易讓人迷惘啊...

先看他怎麼著陸再說吧。

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Jay Gould, 曾經被認為是最惡名昭彰的 speculator & businessman 之一。一兩週前, 無意間在 Economist 上看到, 一篇文章摘錄當年 Jay Gould 在紐約時報的訃聞。

現在, 這種新聞是不會登上報紙版面的。因為大眾不會知道他們是誰。

這樣比較好。

Economist link : Jay Gould - A bad-hat baron
Jay Gould 生平: Wikipedia

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早上起床的時候看了一看大盤, 嗯, 從平盤下二十幾點開盤, 鋼鐵股金融股照漲, 週五帶頭的一些指標股在休息, 好像沒什麼特別的, 先去忙我的事情。等到一點半收盤以後回來看, 這是什麼鬼情形 !?


哇咧, 怎麼會突然爆到上漲 125 點? 這是什麼鬼啊? 再去看一看各個權值股...




... 這也太兇了吧, 早上起床本來看你還跌 2% 的, 盤末最後一筆就拉到漲 4%, 難怪大盤噴成這樣...

新的一年, 果然就是不一樣啊 :p

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今天又看到黃金衝破 $575 的新聞 。本來預計資金回籠的時候可以換一些黃金當定存的, 不過現在看來... 可能還要多等一陣子囉...

看看等幾個月有沒有 490 - 510 之間的價位吧...

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在這篇 報導裡面敘述, 明年期交所也將推黃金期貨了, 又提供國內多一條高槓桿黃金交易管道 :p

美中不足的就是美金計價啦... 大概是為了跟世界市場綁約比較容易。不過除了考慮價格波動還要計較匯差, 做起來會不會太辛苦了點 @_@

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王永慶真的要笑的合不攏嘴了。

台塑決定調漲油價的時候, 消基會發動抵制, 宣稱要以群眾的力量逼迫台塑石油降回原價。這些天以來, 台塑加盟站客源不斷減少,開車族大家都跑去中油排隊加油。甚至有台塑的加盟站逐漸受不
了經營壓力, 準備帶槍投靠, 投奔中油陣營。

表面上看來, 台塑似乎是虧大了, 消基會的抵制訴求的確得到了效果。台塑應該很快會把價格降回來吧! 不然大家都不去加台塑的油啊?

事實卻是, 中油賣越多油, 虧損越多。台塑要跳槽到中油的加盟站,中油也不敢收。情形很明白, 台塑只需要穩住自己的油價, 讓中油慢慢坐吃山空賣到虧死就好。

你可能會問, 那麼台塑即使不虧本, 但是他也沒生意做啊? 他哪來的營收? 那麼如果去做點功課的話, 你會發現, 台塑的油有七成是外銷, 只有三成內銷。中油則剛好相反, 七成內銷, 三成外銷。

那麼中油還能撐多久呢? 或許就要看政府對年底選戰感受到的壓力有多大吧?

lolz

請參考:
油價不降 台塑15加盟站喊退
台塑不降油價 加盟站擬集體退出
台塑加盟站油價不漲 客源只回流1/3

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A story just came out : Bush Questions Iran Leader-Elect's Past

Well, remember what I said about Iran and oil ? War is just getting closer and closer...

Refer to May 14, 2005 : 戰鼓擂起
And Jun 21, 2005 : Now what did I said about oil?

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今天看到了相當有趣的大盤指數。據說是富邦營業員聽錯了下單金額, 下錯了單?

不過類似的疑雲倒似乎是美一兩年就出現一次。這是錯帳? 還是揹黑鍋? 天曉得...

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Refer to : http://blog.360.yahoo.com/mingchiaolee?p=144
And the crude oil futures:

http://www.cnyes.com/FC/index7fc_chart.asp?fcode=CLCON
Is the drums loud enough now ?

Still not convinced? Then take a look at the gold.

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